Investors are closely watching Donald Trump’s second inauguration, eyeing potential benefits from his pro-business agenda while wary of protectionist trade policies, particularly tariffs. His ambitious plans include trade reform, immigration crackdowns, tax cuts, and easing cryptocurrency regulations.
Market participants are preparing for near-term volatility, with Trump's inaugural address seen as a key signal for policy direction. "Uncertainty remains the watchword, with everyone alert for answers to questions like whether the threat of tariffs will become a reality or remain a negotiating ploy," said Sam Stovall, CFRA Research's chief market strategist.
Investment managers expect the impact of Trump’s major policy changes to unfold over time. Michael Arone, CIO at State Street Global Advisors, believes initial responses may be muted, suggesting, "The Trump bark might be worse than the Trump bite in the early going."
However, concerns linger over inflationary pressures from potential tariffs, which could impact bond and stock prices. Immigration controls might further affect markets. On the other hand, deregulation has already boosted bank stocks and cryptocurrencies, with Wall Street CEOs optimistic about the administration's business-friendly stance. "Investors are enthusiastic about regulatory easing and potential tax cuts," added Stovall.
The S&P 500, which gained 2.7% post-election, saw cooling momentum amid inflation fears. Markets anticipate Trump’s wave of executive orders targeting immigration and energy. The cryptocurrency industry is hopeful he will deliver on campaign promises, including creating a federal bitcoin stockpile and establishing a crypto council.
Trump’s first term saw the S&P 500 climb nearly 68%, despite trade war volatility. With U.S. markets closed for Martin Luther King Jr. Day, trading reactions to his second inaugural address will emerge Tuesday.
Investors remain vigilant, balancing optimism with caution as Trump’s policies take shape.